innovation

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The release of the iPad is bringing to the fore a topic that is near and dear to me, and one that I believe will be at the center of design thinking, marketing, etc., discussion for the foreseeable future.

Essentially, some are threatened by the iPad’s “closed” system. The most vocal seems to be Cory Doctorow. In his piece, “Why I won’t buy an iPad (and think you shouldn’t, either),” Mr. Doctorow puts forth the idea that the iPad represents a closed system, and therefore is a “gadget” that stifles innovation, etc.

With respect to Mr. Doctorow (who I do indeed respect immensely), I feel he’s dead wrong here. As someone who at 14 wrote my first piece of software on a Commodore 64 (it was a program that attempted to teach my 6 year-old brother some basic math aptitude by rewarding him with a piece of a picture every time he got the arithmetic problem correct; get ten right and you’ve “built” a race car), and as someone who now likes few things more than devoting an hour or so every other night to teaching myself Ruby on Rails, and as someone who’s been instrumental in the development of two successful iPhone apps (here and here), I just don’t understand his thought process.

The iPad is a delivery device, and, as such, relies on creative types to develop the content to justify its existence. Developing this content — books, movies, tv shows, apps of all stripes — and having an elegant distribution channel and device for our users to consume and enjoy our creations represents a massive win for the creative class.

Did developing not only this device but the distribution channel require Apple to make some decisions that were not informed by “open source” wisdom of the crowds? Absolutely. And, thank God.

The “wisdom of the crowd” could no more design the iPad nor the delivery mechanism (i.e. the App store) than “they” could design any other elegant system.

Why people have not yet come to the realization that wisdom of the crowd/crowdsourcing, etc. is simply a variant of design by committee (taken to a massive extreme) is beyond me.

This is not to say that there is no value to be had from crowdsourcing, etc. There is. What people seem to be neglecting is that these crowds tend to lack experts, or that the sheer volume of the crowd often mutes the experts.

Below is a quick little graphic I created to show the development:

As the Cluetrain famously taught us, “Markets are conversations,” and in a pre-industrial society that’s all we had.

Conversations were muted entirely during the industrial era; Henry Ford: “You can have any color Model T you want, so long as it’s black.”

Conversations were inauthentic during the Modern era; companies attempted to manipulate us into believing we had choice when we didn’t, etc.

The Internet — a medium for conversation and storytelling — allowed us to reclaim our voice, and thus, our choice. Amazon rankings representing the earliest and most cogent example of how “civic sharing” destroyed the Modern conceit of brands über-alles, and began our move towards “wisdom of the crowd” fascination.

We’re in an interstitial period now where we realizing that the wisdom of the crowd alone isn’t working. The recent kerfuffle over negative Amazon reviews for Michael Lewis’ new book, based not on the content of the book, but rather its lack of availability as an e-book, represents an example of this failure. The crowd wasn’t wrong exactly, but rather the current system did not allow the crowd to communicate their collective voice effectively.

What is required now is more filters and crowd leaders. Taking a cue from social entrepreneurship, “teams of teams” must emerge that allow for better organization of the crowd. Again, this requires people with real expertise to marshal the voices.

What is required is that someone with a point of view and knowledge make decisions. This is what the iPad represents. Decisions were made. Cory Doctorow and others were left out of this decision making process, and they don’t like it.

I personally am delighted that I can read Mr. Doctorow’s work on my iPad; I’ll read more of his work more enjoyably because of it. However, I’m also very glad that Mr. Jobs (and his team) designed the iPad and not a collection of Mr. Doctorows.

I know precisely what would have been developed by the “open source” community. It would have been a watered-down version that attempted to please everyone.

I refer to this dynamic as the Coder/Manager Dilemma. Essentially, without a strong manager the coders will water down an idea and leave the manager no economic choice but to ship a product that is less than what had been envisioned. Mr. Jobs is one of the few that seems to combat this (The Kindle is an example of the coder/manager dilemma writ large).

This post
(via Daring Fireball) sums up the need for expertise:

…open source has nothing to teach literature or indeed any artistic creation, since talent doesn’t scale as you give more and more developers check-in access to the version-control system set up for your novel. It further explains why one’s inability to hack an iPad means precisely nothing. Nobody needs to program an iPad to enjoy using it, except those who have no capacity for enjoyment other than programming and complaining about same.

This was the weekend those of us with high standards lost their remaining residue of patience for ideologues who hyperbolize about open systems without actually creating something people want to use.

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Some good dialog out there now from smart people like Clay Shirky that’s moving the ball in terms of how to think about the entertainment industry.

Of course, I like it because it’s consistent with what I’ve been saying for what feels like a loooong ass time.

Here’s the best way I can sum up what’s happened/happening, and how to move forward.

1. People are predisposed to share things.

2. People are more predisposed to share information than other things (i.e. tangible stuff), because there’s no “cost” to sharing information, and there’s often a benefit (you feel happy when you educate someone, turn them on to something, etc.).

3. Music went from a tangible item (vinyl, cassette, CDs) that, when shared, represented a loss for the sharer (”Now I don’t have that CD, because I shared it with someone else.”), to, where it is now: an informational item (mp3 that, due to Moore’s law, etc., doesn’t even represent opportunity cost because you can zap it to people in a nano-second) that represents no loss when shared, but does represent gain (i.e. “When I forward someone an mp3, I’m really sharing information with them, and it doesn’t cost me anything, but I do gain something when the person I share with enjoys it, etc.”). Same deal for movies, books…entertainment.

4. You make money when you realize that music (and other “entertainment”) is information (and is thus not scarce, and represents no loss to the sharer when shared, but does represent gain), and that people will pay for convenience (speed, filtering), access, and (sometimes) other associated non-informational (i.e. scarce) goods that relate to these informational goods.

There ya go. Have at it.

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I twizzizzled out the other day that I had bought Pandora one:

I’ve gotten a lot of questions as to what I like/don’t like/why I took the plunge and bought etc.

As I can’t - sadly - sum it up in 140 characters, here’s my rationale:

1. I was never that keen on Pandora - seemed like a novelty, and not deep enough for someone with as varied and erudite taste in music as mine (I keed, I keed). However, I found that by adding songs to the stations I created (rather than using artists alone to define the station’s parameters) it vastly broadened the spectrum.

2. The iPhone app, when combined with a direct connection into my car, makes for excellent “radio.” (As does the Wolfgang’s Vault iPhone app, by the way).

3. The integration into Boxee, made it accessible via my AppleTV.

4. The integration into my blu-ray DVD player made it accessible that way.

5. the release of the Squeezebox Boom
made it easy enough for my wife to use.

6. The Adobe Air powered “One” Service is REALLY nice. between the “growl“-like floating alerts, and the simple clean interface - it “just works.”

7. The price falls - in economic terms - into the category of “the importance of being unimportant.” While it’s nice not to have the ads, and the hour time out, I wouldn’t have paid for this if the price had been north of $50. At $36, that’s not even a crappy bottle of wine. For $50 I can get a decent bottle of wine.

So, as you can see from above, the main things that caused me to pull the trigger were the depth of music, and the integration into other things into my life.

This is an important point, and one I’ll blog about in more detail soon (I know, everyone’s on the edge of their Che’s Lounge).

Basically, what seems to be eluding people - be they those who produce musical content, film content, newspaper content, book content, or - really any other kind of content - is that the issue you have to contend with isn’t a content issue (of course, you’re content must be awesome or why bother - but everyone thinks their content is awesome), it’s a distribution issue.

The labels were the first to not learn this; had they more rapidly embraced new means of getting their content from creator/content holder to content user, life would have been much more bearable for them. Same deal, of course, for TV, movies, newspapers, etc.

Guess who’s next? Education. If colleges, etc. don’t start understanding that while they may very well be great content sources, if they need to grasp that those who will use their content don’t want to get it the same way Plutarch got his content, they’re cooked.

In any case, Pandora - via its myriad integration techniques - allows for the seamless distribution of its content into my life. That’s ultimately why I bought.

Some images of my Pandora One in action:

Now, what I want: The ability to link my Stitcher podcasts into Pandora. If I could do this, and have a news/Onion podcast come up every hour or so on Pandora…well, goodbye terr radio.

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Woz in the Telegraph.

Posted by email from George’s posterous

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More on this to come, but I hereby offer up the neologism, “blogtailing,” and its related usage, “Blogtailer.”

This word sort of sums up the idea I’ve been pounding for a while now: that sooner rather than later the blogger will be able to become a little retailer; selling products that they blog about rather than giving them away (particularly in the case of MP3 blogs). The blogtailer would keep a percentage of the transaction, with the remainder being divided between the content owner(s). Certainly, infrastructure is needed to perform the back-end functions, but we’re getting darn close on this - uh…The Cloud.

This dovetails with Hugh MacLeod’s concept of Global Micro Brands that I’ve been consumed with recently.

I like the term blogtailing not only because of its play on retailing, but also because it incorporates the word “tail” (blogtailing). While there has (somewhat correctly) been a bunch of recent push-back with regards to the whole idea of the Long Tail, certainly the idea has merit, and certainly more and more people are making their wares available to a large body of potential customers.[*]

In any case, I give you… Blogtailing.

We shall see. I’ll know it has succeeded when I type the word “blogtailing” and my spell checker doesn’t underline it in red.

______________

[*]
I think what caused at least some of the backlash around the Long Tail (aside from the fact that you basically could have gotten the gist of the concept from reading the freely available Wired blog post rather than buying the book) is that people thought that just because there was a potentially unlimited demand curve, that you wouldn’t have to market whatever it was that was resting upon the hinter regions of said Tail. Nothing, of course, could be further from the truth; you have to market harder. It’s just that now, with the ability to not be bogged down by physical inventory, if you do market successfully, you might reach a wide audience.

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